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Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Will Russia Win Ukraine War? What will be its direction after all? Know – Expert view – Russia-Ukraine crisis updates: Who will win the Russia-Ukraine war? What will be the direction of this war? to know

Author: Ramesh MishraDate of Publication: Sunday, 03 July 2022 02:29 PM (IST)Updated Date: Sunday, 03 July 2022 09:34 PM (IST)

New Delhi, J.N.N. Russian military forces have intensified shelling to retake Ukraine’s last stronghold, the city of Lisysansk, in eastern Luhansk province and surrounding areas. The governor of Luhansk province says Ukrainian militias have been trying to save the city from Russian aggression for weeks. On the other hand, Russia’s Defense Ministry said in recent days that its military forces had captured an oil refinery on the outskirts of Lysizansk. However, Luhansk Governor Serhiy Haidai said on Friday that fighting was ongoing. Pro-Russian separatists have controlled large parts of Luhansk and Donetsk since 2014. Russia recognizes both regions as sovereign republics. In this situation, the question arises as to what will be the final outcome of this war. What will be the status of this war?

1- Will the Russian army have a possible victory in this war?

Foreign Affairs expert Professor Harsh V Pant says the Russian military’s ambition to capture maximum areas of Ukraine is still alive. Russia is still planning to capture the capital Kyiv and annex most of Ukraine. Russia may invest its edge in Donbass. Russian troops are being freed up for use elsewhere, perhaps once again targeting Kiev. Ukraine’s military continues to suffer losses. President Zelensky has already admitted that around 100 Ukrainian soldiers are killed and 500 injured every day. Ukrainian citizens may differ on this matter, with some wanting to continue the struggle, while others are advocating for a path of peace.

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2- Will Ukrainian army beat Russia?

Amidst all the challenges facing Ukraine, he said, there is also the question of whether Ukraine can come close to winning this war. Can the Ukrainian Army succeed in evicting Russian-occupied Russia? Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky certainly makes such a claim. The President of Ukraine has said on many occasions that Ukraine will definitely win this war. He said there is no doubt that Russia has been affected by the European-American sanctions. This has also affected the war situation. Ukraine continues to receive military aid from European countries and the United States. Now Ukraine has changed its policy of defense to a policy of aggression. Security experts believe policymakers have already expressed concern about its consequences. In such a situation, Russian President Putin may consider defeat and launch a nuclear attack.

3- Will this war last long?

Professor Pant also said that the Ukraine-Russia war will continue for a long time. He said the war is likely to continue for at least a few months, if not years. The armies of Russia and Ukraine are fighting daily. They attack each other everyday. In this situation, the possibility of this war continuing for a long time is very strong. He said that in this war sometimes one side comes out a little stronger and sometimes the other side comes out stronger. Neither side is willing to bow down in this war. By showing strategic tolerance, President Putin may have devised a strategy that will allow him to succeed. However, the way European countries have helped Ukraine so far shows that they are committed to providing arms to Ukraine and will continue to do so. In such a situation, this war is becoming an ongoing war.

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Could Putin declare a ceasefire?

He added that President Putin could surprise the world by announcing a unilateral ceasefire. Putin may also say that Russia’s military campaign is now over. Pro-Russian separatists were protected in the Donbass, and a corridor to Crimea was established. In such a situation, he could pressure Ukraine to stop fighting on moral grounds. Russia can use this tactic at any time, in which it wants to take advantage of European pressure on Ukraine to capitulate and cede territory in exchange for peace.

Edited by: Ramesh Mishra